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Resumen |
BACKGROUND:
Previous research has reported a decrease in all-cause mortality during times of economic recession. Our objective was to identify the short-term effects of the current Great Recession on life expectancy at birth in Europe, and the role of social protection typology, income and gender.
METHODS:
We used a pooled time series cross-sectional design, with 232 European regions (level 2 of the Nomenclature of Territorial Units for Statistics) as the unit of analysis over 10 years (2003-12). The dependent variable was life expectancy at birth, and the independent variable was unemployment rate. We fit a model in first differences for the periods before and during the Great Recession (2003-07 and 2008-12, respectively), and stratified by sex, social protection typology (Eastern, Mediterranean and Northern) and regional income per capita RESULTS: We observed a negative association during the Great Recession between life expectancy (in years) and in unit change in unemployment among men and women in low-income Mediterranean regions [-0.048(95%CI: -0.081,-0.014) and -0.050(95%CI:-0.091,-0.007), respectively] but no change in trend, and a change in trend to a non-significant negative association among men in high-income Mediterranean and Northern regions (P = 0.005 and P = 0.002, respectively). We also observed a positive association among men in middle-income Mediterranean regions [0.044 (95%CI:0.004,0.084)], with change in trend (P = 0.047), and Eastern regions [0.042 (95%CI:0.001,0.072)] without change in trend.
CONCLUSION:
Overall, our data do not support the notion that increased life expectancy is associated with unemployment during the Great Recession. |
