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Titulo |
Anticipating Economic Market Crises Using Measures of Collective Panic. |
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Autoría |
Harmon D, Lagi M, de Aguiar MA, Chinellato DD, Braha D, Epstein IR, Bar-Yam Y. |
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Fuente |
PLoS One. 2015;10(7):e0131871. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0131871. |
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Resumen |
Predicting panic is of critical importance in many areas of human and animal behavior, notably in the context of economics. The recent financial crisis is a case in point. Panic may be due to a specific external threat or self-generated nervousness. Here we show that the recent economic crisis and earlier large single-day panics were preceded by extended periods of high levels of market mimicry--direct evidence of uncertainty and nervousness, and of the comparatively weak influence of external news. High levels of mimicry can be a quite general indicator of the potential for self-organized crises. |
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URL |
www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26185988 |
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Tipo de documento |
Artículo cientifico |
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Impacto en el sistema sanitario |
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Impacto en la salud |
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